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Originally Posted by dalakhani
What is the percentage of odds on favorites that finish in the money?
What is that percentage in stakes races?
What is the percentage in races where horses are facing similar company to the last?
What is the percentage for horses racing in similar conditions (ie track, distance, company) as last?
I bet when you break all of it down, without even taking into account what type of uber talent Zenyatta has or how bad those particular horses were, that the percentage is extremely high.
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even if the horse could be projected to be itm 99/100 times that's still far less value than finding a horse you think is 3/1 to win going off at 10-1.
it's just stupid on so many levels.