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Originally Posted by infield_line
I would ask anyone to provide any handicapping rationale to have seen the 2 ahead of time in the 4th at BEL..... 
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Her Gulf race was fine. She didn't run at all except the last part and got passed by nothing. If you can toss the slop race, there was no reason to think she'd not run decent. She certainly looked better at 14-1 than the 1 did at 7-1 or the 7 at 9-1 (layoff), and looked almost as good to move up to me as the 3 at 5/2 and just as likely to improve as the 6 at 2/1. Ped seemed ok and Weaver with 3 yo fillies is a bit of a plus.
I had her figured 3d/4th best behind the 8 and 3.