6/25: BEL ($61k); HOL ($172k) Carries
Reviewing Saturday, had mediocre day with some isolated success like Optimistic Steve, but found the going was largely frustrating in the P6 tries at Belmont, Hollywood and '60-6'. The 60-6 is going to be a very tough wager if we have to negotiate 10-12 horse fields in all 6 of the races at all 4 of the tracks with 3-4 of the events coming on the lawn. A $65,000 carryover starts Saturday's pool.
Today offers 2 exceedingly tricky but playable P6 opportunities AGAIN at Belmont and Hollywood... Let's dig in!
BELMONT PARK
POST SCRATCHES!
4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3)
SCR: #5 Alexandra's Halo...
Heavy fave #10 Red Seven (8-5) gave up 4L+ lead late in debut and must negotiate wide post for this dash. Tough to concede to as 'single' with several well-bred and seemingly well-intended baby girls posted from inside and even Badgett's Artax bay (#9 Beboblues Art, 12-1) not impossible after bad break bow. Inclined to spread here to survive..
Most Likely: #10 Red Seven 8-5 7th
Best Value: #3 Dancing Daisy 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Beboblues Art 12-1 6th
Super/Exotics: #4 Sneakin Up 12-1 2nd
5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (G/S, P3, Super)
Will go against Rice (#1-POE), who is no better than several here..
Most Likely: #9 Pano's Love 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Pure Tantrum 6-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Senor Musician 4-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #7 Challenger's Song 12-1 3rd
$1 Trifecta (3-9-7) $128.75
$1 Exacta (3-9) Paid $16.90
.10 SUPER: Key 9 first/second with 1-2-3-6-7-8 (1x6x5x4 = 120 x 2 = 240 x .10 = $24.00) $0.10 Super (3-9-7-2) $46.70
6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #3 SCR
Next Best: #1 SCR (POE) Frankel entry 3-1
Multis Consider: #4 No Reply 5-2
7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, Super)
Most Likely: #3 Steamroller 5-2
Best Value: #6 Catch Up Chris 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Austin Laviva Baby 3-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #2 Unbridled Refrain 7-2 4th
$2 Exacta (9-6) Paid $28.50
8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #1 SCR (POE) KMc entry 3-1
Next Best: #2e Frankel entry 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 SCR
Super/Exotics: #3 Prince Rahy 4-1 WON
9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)
Most Likely: #9 Birds Away 5-2 7th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Best Value: #1 Count This Senora 12-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #5 Only a Vision 5-1 3rd
<$300 P6 Play:
4: 3-9-10
5: 8-9
6: 1-2-4-6
7: 3-6-9
8: 2-3
9: 9
3x2x4x3x2x1 = 144 x $2 = $288
<$50 P4 Play:
6: 1-2-4-6
7: 2-3-6-9
8: 1-2-3
9: 9
4x4x3x1 = $48
HOLLYWOOD PARK
POST SCRATCHES!
3rd: ALW/N$Y, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Look Deep 4-1 5th
Most Likely: #3 Down 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Vanguarda 3-1 3rd
4th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #12 SCR
Best Value: #2 Red Jasper 5-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Delaware Doe 5-1 10th
Super/Exotics: #1 C.C.'s Secret 7-2 5th
5th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Ocean Grand 5-2 7th
Best Value: #7 El Don 4-1 4th
Next Best: #1 One On the House 7-2 WON
6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)
Most Likely: #1 WILD McDREAMIE 7-2 7th
Next Best: #5 The Unclean Spirit 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Wellnessfast 4-1 8th
7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)
Most Likely: #8 Afleet Ruler 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Crimson Star 20-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Guts 6-1 4th
Super/Exotics: #4 Raingear 10-1 5th
8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5f (Super High 5)
Most Likely: #7 Candilejas 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #1 Lippy Rules 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Winningdancer 20-1 9th
High 5 Play: #10 Brewha Baby 4-1 4th
<$250 P6 Play:
3: 3-5-6
4: 1-2-11
5: 1-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 8
8: 1-7
3x3x3x2x1x2 = 108 x $2 = $216
<$75 P4 Play:
5: 1-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 2-3-8
8: 1-2-7-10
3x2x3x4 = $72
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-26-2008 at 04:36 AM.
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