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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
yeah but i would counter that its also costly to try to beat a horse like that not knowing anything about the other firsters. how many debut horses fire off an 11 in their first race? i'm not saying that i would single her on 100% of my tickets, but certainly the majority.
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I hear you, I just don't like betting horses who give up clear leads in the stretch, and combining that with the possibility that there may be one or two runners in the race, I don't think she's a clear single. If I were playing the Pick 6, I'd watch the board. If any of the firsters took significant money, I'd consider tossing her or them in with Red Seven, who definitely looks like the most likely winner.