Shopton Lane is a very dangerous play in the 3rd IMO. Not only did his last win come on the most speed biased track of the winter (and yes, I have empirical data to back that up) but it was also in a race where the 3rd place finisher was in trouble through the length of the stretch. You have to believe Merchant Marine will not let this guy get far away either.
Twistaway ran the race of her life when going turf to dirt last November but you have to wonder if she still has any idea how to win. When one of the strongest angles on a horse is Coa on, you're probably grasping at straws. However, Eibar is riding like a machine right now and he is a gigantic improvement over Mike Luzzi.
Americanus loves Belmont, is back in against N1Y claimers and should get a great target in R Fast Favorite. His last wasn't that bad and there's really not much in here, despite the presence of an overbet Richard Dutrow entry. I'd say he's the likelies of the three to get the job done.
NT
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