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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I'm basing this on a single viewing of the race but I do, actually, think that Spurred had absolutely NO shot given the way the race played out. Look at the chart: he's the only horse gaining the first three splits; the last of which gutted him. He was forced to run at the worst point in the race; and he was wide.
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looking at that chart it looks like a pretty big move into that fast quarter.