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Originally Posted by pick4
You are probably correct. But a big fig maiden winner coming back against multiple winners is usually worth playing against. This race is pretty much a non winners of 2x. He is the most likely winner and he's moving up in class. What will you get paid if he wins? What if he regresses a bit and loses an overlayed horse might pay a nice price.
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debatable IMO. If you are trying to beat the races, you pass unless you have a really strong case against UH or for another. The colt looked good and ran big in the lane after decent fractions. Just having fun? Yea take a shot for a few bucks to win a couple hundred.