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Originally Posted by sdjcom
Steve i was not implying anyone on ATR say anything or question a trainer.
i meant saying this to the listeners if a high profile horse is out of training routine for a big race. Atr and guest i understand was at Belmont all week. on the radio show it sounded to me everything was fine, with the patch job on hoof and so i took it for granted training to. now i did not bet BB and will say it's one's own responsibility to watch w/o reports so maybe i was out of line.
however everyone listen's for an advantage.
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I understand.. And your suggestion about consideration for scratching was certainly a valid one. Understand that everyone was going on visual impression and what you heard from the Dutrow/McKinlay end. When the horse is out there early in the week looking solid going 5f in 1:00.3 and cooling out fine, there is no reason to question his status. He looked considerably worse for wear to me Friday when he jogged and I said so on the air... I also had again reminded people on the wagering front that the prudent play was to go against him in race, cover him in multis. That was the best I could do in terms of advising people to be wary of embracing him totally to the exclusion of any other possible result.
Remember that we were dealing with a horse that had dusted everything he faced in Florida, Kentucky and Maryland. The thought process is to conclude that even if he is less than 100% he should still beat the crew he was facing. Remember too that Baffert and Frankel expected Point Given and Empire Maker respectively to be simply better than the rest at less than 100% in their Kentucky Derbies. And most experts, fans and horseplayers agreed with their assertions.