6/11: Belmont ($1.1MM C/O)
Enjoyed a strong first half of the Belmont Day card Saturday with 6 straight winners from the Most Likely or Best Value selections before Ventura slowed me up in the Just a Game. The highlight was the $1,180.00 early Pick 4 hit suggested with an $81 play that came in juicy thanks to Best Value runners $43.00 Endless Circle (5th) and $10.80 Piazza Di Spagna (3rd).
Sciacca's Piazza also keyed the $25.75 exacta, $59.25 tri and $697 super, and the exacta of Galluscio's 'Circle' and Exotics Add Dr. W returned $134.00. Rolling P3's using the tabs brought back $52.75 (1st-3rd); $61.50 (2nd-4th); $310.50 (3rd-5th) and $88.50 (4th-6th). Zaftig, J Be K and Megapixel rounded out the rest of the afternoon as top picks on what I hope was a very good day for you!
Remnants of Saturday, besides explanations of Brown's bad day, remain in the form of a $1,180,000 Pick Six carryover on a very tricky card. It is the largest single-day carry in NYRA P6 history. My approach to the fun but murderously difficult sextet below...
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES...
4th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3)
Most Likely: #1 Love Co 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 My Dinah 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 City in the Clouds 5-1 8th
Exotics Add: #8 La Mure 12-1 5th
5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, Super)
#9 Nikkinikkinikki (10-1) and #12 Classic Impact (20-1) deserve some consideration on deep P6 back-up plays...
Most Likely: #2 All in No Outs 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Hot Table 3-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Youbethecan 6-1 WON
Exotics Add: #8 Allaboutmack 12-1 6th
6th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)
Terrific starter allowance with many here eligible to jump up and steal it including Brown's #4 Romp (6-1)..
Most Likely: #8 Dancing Tin Man 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Stormy Mirage 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Personal Good 5-1 8th
Exotics Add: #1 Sumphin 4-1 2nd
7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3)
Most Likely: #1a (POE) SCR
Next Best: #9 Myakka 3-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Zip By You 6-1 4th
Exotics Add: #5 Flying Sappho 15-1 5th
8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)
Most Likely: #5 Pennington 5-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Raynicks Fan 6-1 2ND
Next Best: #9 Forest of Dreams 3-1 3RD
Exotics Add: #8 Papa Bear 6-1 4TH
$2 Exacta (5-7) Paid $48.80
$2 Trifecta (5-7-9) Paid $233.50
9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)
Most Likely: #10 Ten Forty 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 E Z Dollar 15-1
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Add: #12 SCR
<$200 P6 Play:
4: 1-2
5: 2-6
6: 2-8
7: 8-9
8: 5-7-9
9: 6-10
2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192
<$75 P4 Play:
6: 2-8
7: 8-9
8: 5-6-7-8-9-10
9: 2-6-10
2x2x6x3 = $72
Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Last edited by Kasept : 06-11-2008 at 04:23 PM.
|