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Originally Posted by GPK
Was very interesting seeing Obama "kick off" his campaign in southwest VA the other day. He got some attention with his health care reform (don't see that program working, but I can't claim much knowledge regarding that area) and more clean coal energy (really hit a homerun there) but his single biggest obstacle in winning over the VA vote, especially in the rural areas, is gun control. That will be his biggest downfall as far as losing voters in VA...IMO
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kev:
he'll get crushed in rural virginia outside of the black vote. the black vote is about 20% of the state btw.
but there's a huge population in nova that now votes democratic.
he'll carry nova and the coastal southern counties along the n carolina border which have huge black majorities.
it's a question of turnout and margin's in those area's vs. mccains ability to motivate his voter's through the middle of the state.
i doubt many on mccain's staff are looking the state, rolling their eyes, and saying "puhleez!"