I think betting against him running faster than Affirmed is a pretty safe bet.
In the last fifty years, the winner has broken 2:27 in this race only seven times. Six of those horses were Secretariat, Affirmed, Risen Star, Easy Goer, AP Indy, and Point Given.
Since Big Brown isn't in the same class as those animals, I expect he'll be slower than 2:27....unless the track happens to be lighting fast.
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