Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Divine Park
First Defence
Commentator 
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Devine Park ran a superb race on opening day. He also had a perfect setup to run perform that well. I don't believe that running a great race and having a perfect trip are mutually exclusive. He's not going to be facing the same fast speed who lacked the quality that the m/l favorite has.
I've been looking at this race and I can't find anyone who can give Commentator the necessary early pace pressure to make him vulnerable when they turn for home. If he can get anything over a 22 first quarter and if he is doing it on his own without anyone running step for step with him he'll be tough to beat.
He's usually on top at first call and the only one I can see outting any kind of pressure on him is First Defence but if he does that he'll lose the battle and the war too.
I can't see Commentator losing this race. If anyone has a different outlook please post. Betting heavy chalk is not fun.