1) First start after a claim
2) Last race out of the money finish
3) Last race more than 30 days ago (longer the better)
4) Raise in class
5) 12%+ trainer first start after claim stat
My theory is the trainer found a problem with the horse, took the time to fix it, and has the confidence to raise him in class even though he has waited out the claiming "jail time" even with a last race out of the money finish.
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