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Originally Posted by ateamstupid
 OK. If he runs better in the Woody Stephens, I'll be more inclined to say that his unspectacular effort was because he needed the race. If he runs the same or worse, I'll lean toward the opposite determination. That's about the best I can explain it.
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OK. Unfortunately, since I am guessing the Woody Stephens will be a race your are involved in financially ( at least in multi-race bets ), you may have to make at least some sort of determination beforehand.