a discussion didn't really materialize
so what i am going to post some losing favorites here in this thread. I will name a horse and I will give a reason and maybe a possible wager. See how it works out. Anyone else is welcome to participate. Hopefully this exercise will improve my skill at evaluating losing favorites and possibly help someone else as well.
5/9/2008
Belmont Race 2
#1 Hostile Takeover/Boxer Rebellion
Reason HT is the contender here in the entry(BR hasn't completely disproved himself, but has shown little in 2 starts). With this track that is very sloppy, I think it hurts HostileTakeover. Out of Diesis he doesn't like the slop. Look back and he did decent in a Muddy track 2 back, today very wet and sloppy. He wants to quit in the slop today, and shows maybe a little more route speed than sprint speed-debateable. Adds blinkers here as well.
possible wager? = the 2,6,10,11 ex box looks pretty good right now
also the 2 to win(taggCoa 1sTimeStarter tale of Cat worked in mudd ).
I am having a tough time estimating a chance for the 2
261011box=12
$2 win on #2