Some relatively close tickets.
It's a very tough bet to have a true value edge on. More of a lottery or fun bet.
With this race the 4 was kind of a key horse. He was either going to be 1st or 2nd or if he had major problems, his career was basically finished and would be headed for lesser tracks and even cheaper purses. There was the hint that a higher% trainer could get him right again.
Hindsight - probably should have used the 4 1st and 2nd in all of the tickets. The Tampa shipper burned me as well running 4th. He was pretty consistent in his last 10 races. I also included the 12 in my group and he was a bit cheap.
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