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Originally Posted by miraja2
This is one of the assumptions that a lot of people seem to operate under that makes no sense to me whatsoever. As far as I know, most horsemen would tell you that it is almost impossible to actually get a horse to peak on one particular day. Who is to say that these horses "aren't at 100%" in the preps? Was Bellamy Road not at 100% in the Wood? Was Easy Goer weeks away from his "best" in the Gotham? etc. etc. etc.
Why do so many people assume that trainers are wizards that can magically call upon the horse's best race whenever they want it?
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There are going to be circumstances that require some horses to be closer to their peak before others. Perhaps Bellamy Road was at 100% for the Wood. Smarty Jones might have been at 100% for the Arkansas Derby because for him, he HAD to win that race to get into the Derby. For others, like Sniper said, they have the earnings early and can be trained different. War Pass and Pyro are two examples of that this year. The point isn't trying to know where exactly each horse is at every stage, the point is that for most of them, they aren't trained as hard as they can be for the prep races because the trainers are trying to leave something in the tank and have them at their peak for the big one.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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