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Originally Posted by eagles725
Here is a blurb from Jeremy plonk's article at Espn.com and Mike Welsch at drf. Who do you go with? lol!1
. Z FORTUNE (30-1)
Taxing effort in the Arkansas Derby has been a concern for trainer Steve Asmussen, and this talented horse did not appear to be at his peak training this past week. Following his final breeze, he nearly came to a walk in the gallop-out. He's better than his eventual finish might indicate.
Z Fortune: Has been conservatively handled coming off a career-best performance in the Arkansas Derby. An imposing specimen who has made an awesome appearance on a daily basis. Expecting another huge effort with any racing luck Saturday.
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Most of the guys in the horseracing press have no idea what they're looking at. I have never even heard of Jeremy Plonk, but I doubt he knows what he's talking about. Mike Welsch is one of the few guys in the horseracing press that has a very good eye. As Ateam said, I would go with Welsch's opinion. I think that is pretty much a no-brainer.
I have personally watched a ton of the training footage from this week. I agree with Welsch on Z Fortune. I think he has trained very well this week.
In case any of you want to watch some training footage from this week but don't know where to watch, here is the link:
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2008/videos/works
It's interesting that Big Brown did not gallop nearly as well on April 30th as he did on April 29th. He was not nearly as fluid on April 30th. In addition, he did not switch leads when he came down the stretch that day. But he did work fine the next day.