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Originally Posted by Danzig
a horse wins at 7f.
finishes third, about a length back of the winner at 1 1/16.
he finishes second, but almost 8 lengths back, at 1 1/8. so, because he finished second to big brown, i should consider him? but i should ignore the 8 length loss?
besides, isn't big brown running saturday? is he suddenly slower? should i ignore the fact that smooth air is further back the longer the distance becomes when he is facing his longest race yet?
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Yes, you should. Call me crazy, but I think there is at least some correlation between lengths beaten and level of competition.
Besides, he lost by 5, not 8. Is there another horse in the field that you think would've lost by considerably less?