Yes, the morning line comes out to a 28% takeout. Ridiculous.
I have a spreadsheet that I offered here (for free) last year which will take a set of odds and adjust it to any takeout you specify (or to no takeout, if you want a "fair odds" line). Anyway, I put in Battaglia's odds and here's what you get with a 16% takeout:
Cool Coal Man 23
Tale of Ekati 18
Anak Nakal 35
Court Vision 23
Eight Belles 23
Z Fortune 18
Big Truck 59
Visionaire 23
Pyro 7
Col John 4.7-1
Z Humor 35
Smooth Air 23
Bob Black Jack 23
Monba 18
Adriano 35
Denis of Cork 23
Cowboy Cal 23
Recapturetheglory 23
Gayego 18
Big Brown 7-2
The rounding actually moves this to a 17.2% takeout, but at least that's in the ballpark. (oops, wrong sport metaphor)
btw, phil, from the title of this thread I thought you were going to post an ML for a sloppy track! I immediately went to weather.com to see how bad the weather was going to be!
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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