i think getting first dibs on a winner is all about ego.
there aren't a lot of races where people try to pick the winner before the field is finalized. more information is usually better than less information.
i settled on charismatic 10 minutes before post because i thought he had 1 chance in 10 of winning but was 30-1. yet i still locked into saarland after the remsen.
so i understand the urge.
but i respect people that resist it.
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