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Originally Posted by Gander
He got it done with the virtual impossible post in the FL Derby, so I wouldnt see how he cant get it done from post 20 in the Derby. Sure, its quite a bit wider, but the track configuration is a lot more fair at Churchill than Gulfstream... they have a longer way to the first turn in this race. Big Brown's speed should get him into good position. There are only 2-3 horses who could possibly outsprint him early- BBJ, Recapture and Gayego.
I wouldnt want any horse at 2/1 in the Derby though.
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True, but the caliber of horses in the Florida Derby was pathetic. He might get the lead with his speed, but I wouldnt be so confident in him making the 1 1/4 distance if he goes :22.1 for the first quarter. And no thank you at 2-1 or even 5-1.