Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I can't believe this thread is still going. As I see it Commentator isn't as bad as being discussed here or as good as being discussed.
Commentator has major issues, obviously, as he's only made 17 starts as a 7 year old. He's not a classic horse, but it didn't stop him from beating Saint Liam going 9 furlongs. He's very fast, but is pretty unaffective if he doesn't make the lead. That's about it. In a year like this, if he can somehow stay healthy he could have a nice year. While I'm not ready to hand him the Whitney trophy, considering the depth of older horses running right now, it's at least possible he could win a two turn race.
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It is nice to see someone actually take a reasonable approach to this horse.
PG85,
As you can see in this thread I have already defended Commentator, but to say that the horse is going to have a "monster year" is ignoring this horse's entire history. He has major health concerns, and the odds are he won't even make enough starts to have anything that could reasonably called a monster year. Also, as others have pointed out, if he starts running in G1s, he can be neutralized by the connections of others entering rabbits.
He could probably still win a two-turn stakes race at 8.5f, or maybe even 9f, but he would have to find the ABSOLUTE right spot (i.e. no other early speed) for that to happen.