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Originally Posted by cmorioles
If I give the race a 103, it bumps the pace up to a 124...yeah, right...no freaking way. I thought Moss did Oaklawn and surely looked at the pace if so. I'm don't know how he could possibly think that is right.
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Beyer speed figures do not take into account the pace of the race. The only thing it takes into account is the final time. Then it is assigned a raw number based on the time. The next thing they do is add or subtract depending on what the variant was for the day. Sometimes when a time seems out of line the figure maker will use projection to give the race a number.
If the Beyer fig makers are still using the same speed rating chart as the one in Beyer on Speed, he time of 1:49 3/5 is 106. The final number was assigned a 103 so the variant was a -3 (about 2 lengths slow) , unless the fig maker gave the final number as a projected figure. Not knowing what the other races were assigned figurewise it is hard to tell if projection was used here.