View Single Post
  #1  
Old 04-11-2008, 08:40 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,963
Default 4/11: AQU (P6 C/O); KEE (Maker's, P4)

In what became a running gag when co-hosting ATR with Graci, Thursday was "scalded dog comeback day" ringing up big scores with the Keeneland selections after a dreadful afternoon Wednesday. Overlays Moonshine Hall (7th-$15) and Mama I'm Home (9th-$42) keyed the $2,500 P4 and $900 P3 (7th-9th) in the best single play I've had at Lexington since the move to Polytrack. $60 quad ticket returned better than 40-1 combining the obvious ($5 Charming in 6th; $8 Ariege in the Beaumont) with the potential prices. Curiously, the ticket was a hit with all four 2nd place horses as well as the winners. (Something I don't ever recall having done...)

Received a number of Emails, so I know several were along for the ride! Hope you did well... P6 at AQU and terrific Maker's Mark Mile at KEE, though rain a threat to both cards...


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #4 Akebono 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Starhumor 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Juror 5-2 9th
Exotics Add: #3 Russian Sage 6-1 3rd


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, G/S)

Most Likely: #5 Lady in Command 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 SCR
Next Best: #1 Triple Brook 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Ed's Princess 8-1 2nd


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Meredith Bay 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Watch My Lass 10-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Wicked Affair 4-1 7th
Exotics Add: #8 Wise Pitch 30-1 10th


7th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 He's a Pioneer 4-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Golden Blase 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Wavering Truth 15-1 6th
Exotics Add: #3 Holly Time 2-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #1e Dutrow entry 2-1 WON/3rd
Best Value: #2 Hatta Diamond 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Fee Fi Fo Fum 8-1 6th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Depend on Bonnie 5-2 7th
Best Value: #8 Fast Learner 10-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Battle of Britain 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #5 My Honey B 15-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (8-4) $75.00
$1 Trifecta (8-4-5) $761.00



<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-7-8
5: 5
6: 3-4-9
7: 6
8: 1-2-5
9: 7-8

4x1x3x1x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144 $2 Pick 6 (4-2/5/6-4-4-1/4-8) 5 Correct $172.00


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-4
7: 6-9
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 4-7-8

2x2x4x3 = $48



KEENELAND


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Slewfoundmoney 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Scarlett's Place 7-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Rockintotherhythm 20-1 6th
Exotics Add: #5 Caressive 5-2 8th


8th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 School Girl 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Informed Decision 9-5 WON
Exotics Add: #4 Dreaming of Liz 4-1 6th


9th: 20th Maker's Mark (gr. I), 4+, 1m-T (Super, Maker's Mark-Blue Grass Double)

Wonderful gathering of real Gr. I racehorses for this spring sod standard.. Deep and intriguing! Don't forget the Maker's-Blue Grass Double bet today... Could be a bonanza.. NOTES: Should skies open and course be less than firm, #11 Thorn Song (15-1) from Romans becomes exotics must; Disliked hard GP lawn, and looks set for return to best..

Most Likely: #1 Kip Deville 5-2: Honest, likeable OKie bred defends title in '08 bow.. WON
Best Value: #9 Shakis 8-1: KMc-Shadwell 8yo may sit ideal stalking trip; Classy.. 6th
Next Best: #4 Ruff and Ready 10-1: Looks like up and comer was pointed for this.. 8th
Exotics Add: #11 Thorn Song 15-1: Yielding loam key to this Romans' runner.. 3rd

Maker's-Blue Grass Double: 1-4-9-11/1-2-3-5-7-9-11-12 (4x8 = $32)
1/5 Kip/Monba: 102.20


10th: MSW, 4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 Oceanography 9-5 5th
Best Value: #12 Indy Run 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Borobudur 10-1 WON
Exotics Add: #3 Del Castillo Diaz 9-2 9th
High 5 Play: #11 Sourpower 15-1 10th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-5-8
8: 2-4-6
9: 1-4-9-11
10: 5

4x3x4x1 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-12-2008 at 04:37 PM.
Reply With Quote