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Old 04-09-2008, 05:54 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,935
Default 4/9: AQU ($52k C/O); KEE (P4)

Scratch-diminished Gulfstream card Monday was overshadowed by Joe Orseno whose 5th winner on the day, Mean Demand, upended the P4 try. Single Without a Doubt was caught at the wire by the $14.00 winner as even with tiny fields and chalky hits.. 6th ($4.20), 7th ($6.00) and 9th ($5.20).. the Quad came back more than the parlay at $325 for the $1 play. That's why you've got to love the '4'..

Premium quality action at Keeneland, despite the ridiculous main track, returns today, and a $50k+ carryover at Aqueduct, with turf (!), beckons..


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 5.5f (P6P3)

Super-intriguing state-bred affair with hot-looking firsters (1a-3-4-9); a logical favorite (2) making 2nd career start for notorious win early trainer Ward, and an interesting longshot (8) that faced the ML choice two back.. Yet another race that's an example of why New York state is missing out and frustrating players by not allowing Superfectas throughout all eligible events..

Most Likely: #2 January Gent 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Halation 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 POE Contessa entry 7-2 8th
Exotics Add: #3 Doc Can Do 5-1 9th


5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P3, G/S)

Best Value: #7 Love That Song 5th
Most Likely: #8 Vikrant 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Explosive Count 5-2 7th
Exotics Add: #2 Shrewd Stipulation 8-1 WON


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7.5f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Brookhaven's Money 2-1 WON
Best Value: #9 C. T. Kaz 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Add: #5 Wanna Winna 20-1 6th


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Gulch Fever 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 One Starry Nite 5-1 6th
Next Best: #8 All in No Outs 9-2 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Millenium Jet 4-1 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Don't believe phony fig from last for 9-5 fave No Reply...

Most Likely: #5 Angelic Aura 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Mucho Margaritas 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #1e Contessa entry 3-1 5th


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Nuclear Meltdown 7-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Stormy Relations 5-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Miss Western Charm 10-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #3 Justinline 4-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-3-8
5: 7
6: 3-5-9
7: 5-9
8: 2-5
9: 4-9

4x1x3x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-9
7: 2-5-8-9
8: 2-5
9: 4-9

3x4x2x2 = $48



KEENELAND


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 SCR
Best Value: #7 Please Include Me 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Green Secret 5-1 4th
Exotics Add: #9 Tenkiller Lake 7-2 2nd


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Indian Chant 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Success Success 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Forest Blue 6-1 4th


8th: 7th Vinery Madison (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Wild Gams 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Windyindy 15-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Zada Belle 7-2 9th
Exotics Add: #10 Change Up 12-1 5th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super; Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 SCR
Best Value: #4 Clouds in the Sky 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Add: #9 Love Buzz 15-1 8th
High 5 Play: #8 Summer Courtship 15-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-6-7-9-11
7: 2-5
8: 2-4-7-9-10-11
9: 4

6x2x6x1 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-10-2008 at 07:32 AM.
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