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Originally Posted by Cardus
As I relayed to another poster in a PM recently, I believe that if the horses out west were running up big figures (Beyer, TG, Ragozin, etc.) on the synthetic surfaces, then I'd wonder if they were merely synthetic performers. Are they running big figures? It doesn't seem like they are, though I admit I do not have the TG numbers. They certainly are not earning big Beyer figures. (I saw another 90+ BSF for the Santa Anita Derby.)
Unless you think that the west coast contingent as a group is garbage, why couldn't Colonel John (and others, perhaps) run even modestly better on dirt, which would look good on Derby day?
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The out west 3 year olds are NOT running better figures, at least from a TG perspective. I can't recall the numbers, but I know that Colonel John has a really good progressing pattern, I just hope that he didn't explode in his last effort.
Matter of fact, I don't think a 3 year old has broken the 1 or 2 barrier on the west coast. I know that Big Brown has, and Pyro is right there.