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Originally Posted by Bigsmc
With the classic Ness 10pt move up off the claim, the 6 - Balsero is lock city.
The 10 is going to have to send or get taken out of his game from that far out in a 1m40yd race (and he's not Big Brown).
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Kinda crazy leaving Ness off - I agree, even though the horse doesn't stack up here he's 42% first clm...The 10 fits on paper, but is going to need to go early to clear this bunch and although there isn't a ton of pace, he is going to use a bunch of horse to do so. Both will take the lion's share of the action and both are vunerable This is Tampa after all and the bombs have been dropping with regularity here lately...
My thought is that it's a two horse race between the 2 and 8, with the 7 Fizzy Pop a long price but makes some sense with 2 impressive works off the claim and My boy Bernell no slouch at 32% off the claim as well - horse is 3 for 9 at Tampa as well
5 DeRoode - toss the Calder start and he fits - 5K starters @ Tampa typically run close to 16K clm par and he hasn't embarassed himself there, and has similar back class to the 10
I may wind up including the 6, depending on scratches