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Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
He beat a field of dogs on a turf course that was carrying speed and beat 4 dogs in an off the turfer. Doesn't he have to sort of prove himself a little?
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He was the 7th choice in his debut - probably because Pat Reynolds never seems to win with debuters. How many has he won with this decade?
And while the March 5th race was an off-the-turfer....the two horses he sparred with early are both dirt horses - and both (Crimson Comic and Hedgefund Investor) would be single digit odds in almost any N1X dirt allowance around one turn with the form they brought into the race.
Basically, Big Brown fractured those two in the pace battle. They finished 4th and 5th and both were all but eased.
If it was a situation where Hedgefund Investor and Crimson Comic went head-to-head...and Big Brown rated off of them from a clear and isolated 3rd position....I would have a much less favoable opinion about Big Brown's race. MUCH less.
The horse who got the dream trip was the 2nd place finisher - however, he was 45/1 in a five horse field for a reason.
Big Brown doesn't exactly deserve extra praise for beating a dream trip 2nd place horse by a pole when said 2nd place horse is a total bum.
To me, Big Brown has already proven himself ability wise as far as what he can do from up on the pace.
What will happen when he doesn't make the lead, gets behind horses, and has dirt kicked in his face? What will happen if he has to try and run hard from on the pace the entire way at a distance of 9f or greater. To me, those are the only two questions he needs to address.