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Originally Posted by cmorioles
There were 6 routes run on the Blue Grass card (apparently they put a little thought into having other routes on a "big race" care...take note, NYRA). The following is what Beyer did with the raw figure to get the Beyer.
1: Subtract 5
3: 0
4: Subtract 5
6: Subtract 5
9: 0
10: Add 5
It was an shaky day. The first four were run at 8.5f, the last two at 9f. So, it was clearly subjective. He could have gone 5 points in either direction to be honest. He could have used -5, 0, or +5, all logically. I went with a 97 speed figure looking back on my notes, and given the future performance of the horses it stood up well.
The point is, making figures is no exact science and never will be. Some are easy, some are hard, and you do your best.
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Stream Cat went 1:43 1/5th at 8.5 furlongs earlier on in the card - and his career top Beyer was an 88. The Blue Grass was an extra 1/16th further, and went about 8 full seconds slower...with four noses on the wire together.
Synthetic track figures are meaningless to me - but I've always wondered how the sheet makers, who don't account for pace, can get away with not splitting sprint and route variants when they make them. I'm sure they can't in extreme case I guess.
The day that Domincan ran down Street Sense in the Blue Grass the final time was 1:51.33 - thirty minutes earlier Silent Name won a 7 furlong race in 1:21.26 - basically a quarter mile in a little over 30 seconds time seperates those two races.