I like the aggressive move in the 5th excluding the 3...

what has me a little confused is you're excluding the 2 and 4 who should be on or near the lead around the first turn.

Hard Iron was just a little over a length behind your top choice last out and it was his first route race in over a year. He seems to have his best races around two turns. Plus the jockey switch and drop in weight is an added bonus.

I've gotta play this horse at 8/1 or better.