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Originally Posted by Dunbar
If someone throws 15 Sevens in a row at a craps table, are the odds of a 16th seven astronomical? Hardly. Peppers Pride isn't trying to win 16 times in a row. She's trying to win a single race, and the odds are not astronomical. That's not to say she won't be overbet, though.
I have to root against her. I don't want even more horses to share, or worse, beat, the record that Citation and Cigar share, unless that horse is competing at the top level.
--Dunbar
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Almost no horse runs that many good races in a row. Eventually the odds of something happening will happen. Maybe she'll get pinched at the start. Maybe she'll be feeling sick and it will go undetected. She's going to be weighed close to 130 probably. That has to catch up to her at some point.
Okay maybe the odds of her doing it aren't astronomical but...no one runs 16 good races with little trouble without something happening.