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Originally Posted by Cardus
Do you have the past performances for this race? I mentioned in the other thread that I liked KSS and thought that he was better than 7th or 8th best. I don't have the past performances, but I wanted to illustrate what I liked. I recall seeing a race -- it was probably his November CD heat -- in which he was "5W, 6W" according to the comment line. I thought that another past race seemed decent, too.
I liked him more than Z Fortune, I know that.
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http://www.drf.com/row/pps/08OPrebelstakes.pdf
Keep in mind - the day he won at Fairgrounds - Eight Belles won a race 40 yards longer in almost identical time - running a Beyer 20 points faster than King's Silver Son.
That is why I'm very proud of how I read and bet the Rebel.
I basically made a little score by focusing my betting around a horse I honestly thought stunk - but was just going to get the setup and trip of a lifetime - and with his hanging style, you knew 2nd place would be a strong possibilty.
I also had rabidly negative opinions against the two other closers in the race - Anak Nakel and Golden Yank - so that enabled me to have the courage to bet the race - even though I didn't bet a whole lot.