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Originally Posted by Cardus
Do you believe that his synthetic and turf races matter when it comes to assessing his chances in the Derby?
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Yes. And only because he ran well in his first dirt race. So his good dirt race validates, at least to some extent, his synth and turf form. Absolutely.
It's a fallacy that all synth horses are junk on dirt. Most are and will be but there are going to be some that run well on the junk in spite of it not being the horse's best surface. Is he one of these? Who knows but at this point he is one to watch in his next race.
Which is really all I've said. Again, to each his own on how to bet but I will never make a win bet on any of the top 5 or 6 "hyped" horses in the Derby. Sometimes the best or one of the best horses wins, but not often enough for my tastes.
I prefer to find a playably longshot and splash the horse around in the Tri and Super.
I'm not overly intelligent but I'm smart enough to understand the way I play the Derby is, in the end, no less of a gamble than playing a short-priced horse to win.
There's merit in betting what you think the best horse is to win. Most people do. But I'd never play the race that way.
So Yankee Bravo is on my list of possible horses to use.