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Originally Posted by Danzig
barely beating blackberry road, and finishing behind a horse making his stakes debut, is not much recommendation for yankee bravo. if that's what the typical west coaster is going to do when on dirt, i'd also look elsewhere on derby day.
i like colonel john, but attempting 10f for the first time, against the best 3 yo's, and also making a surface switch? good luck with your future bet, i think you'll need all you can get.
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Yankee Bravo is hardly the best west coast horse. He's no where near their best. The point was that he improved from synthetic to dirt in the LA Derby like his Beyers will suggest, so that it's not necessarily the right thing to think that Colonel John will regress on the dirt surface or that he might not improve on the dirt surface since his breeding favors the dirt surface. Yankee Gentleman's can usually run on both surfaces, although Yankee Bravo has more turf breeding, but Colonel John's breeding is basically all dirt.
Everyone needs all the luck and help they can get in the Derby no matter what horse they pick in the future bets.