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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Be very careful about equating slop at Gulfstream to slop anywhere else. And also, sloppy tracks on the inner are often not speed favoring and if it doesn't rain anymore, it hasn't really since before midnight, the track could be changing.
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No matter the track condition, I don't like Saratoga Russell in the Gotham.
I
really don't like him if the track is wet, because I think he will be even
more overbet because of his performance in the slop at GP. Your points about the difference between the slop at GP and the slop on the inner is yet another reason that I think this horse should be avoided. Many people will bet him off of a sloppy race that is misleading in terms of any similarity to today's circumstances.
Of course, if there is no more rain, I guess it doesn't really matter.