[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

no, because its true. Curlin probably has nothing to fear from that field if it was at equal weights and if it was THE target race, but it isn't.

If it wasn't for Familiar Territory I'd say Curlin would win even in workout mode. But that horse has ran particularily well on dirt at 10 furlongs and has a couple of recent races under his belt so he has a racing fitness edge over Curlin. His last race was in fast time and the rest of the field he beat was strung out badly. The horse looks sharp and although he is five he's only raced 10 times, mostly on turf.

To me a sharp horse with a big weight break can often beat a better horse.

Okay. I get your point.