Thread: The Carnival!
View Single Post
  #171  
Old 02-28-2008, 09:50 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by my miss storm cat
Aren't they saying that just incase?

Aren't they covering themselves AJ?
no, because its true. Curlin probably has nothing to fear from that field if it was at equal weights and if it was THE target race, but it isn't.

If it wasn't for Familiar Territory I'd say Curlin would win even in workout mode. But that horse has ran particularily well on dirt at 10 furlongs and has a couple of recent races under his belt so he has a racing fitness edge over Curlin. His last race was in fast time and the rest of the field he beat was strung out badly. The horse looks sharp and although he is five he's only raced 10 times, mostly on turf.

To me a sharp horse with a big weight break can often beat a better horse.
Reply With Quote