[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell

I believe that his point is moot because we have no idea what horses will emerge each year. Lawyer Ron was about the 8th best of his generation that wound up being top older horse because of defections but how do we not know that hemay have emerged anyway? It is hard to believe any horse could have beaten him at Saratoga this year. I have a hard time believing that all the major turf races will be abandoned because of synthetic. Actually turf racing will get a boost in this country because better mares are being bred to turf stallions because of the synthetic/turf relationship. You already see turf types brining more at the sales and this trend should continue if synthetic tracks expand.

So you don't believe that taking away the top horses from one area is any more likely to produce new "top" horses than the natural evolution of things? If next year, Lebron James, Kobe Bryant, Allen Iverson, Dwayne Wade, Carmelo Anthony, and Dirk Nowitzki all miss the year with injury and Amare Stoudamire ends up leading the league in scoring, you don't think the absence of those other stars would have anything to do with it? You would think my point is moot because we don't know who would have emerged anyway? It's the same concept. Whether the top horses are taken away by retirements or by injuries or by trainers deciding to run them on a different surface, their departures create voids that will get filled but doesn't necessarily mean that the horses that fill them are just as good or would have done so anyway.