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Old 02-19-2008, 05:31 AM
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Hwjb Hwjb is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Halifax, England
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Kev, it's difficult to be sure about Neptune's rating because it depends on whether you take the view that Naunton Brook ran to his rating or not. We have Naunton running 6lb below his best on the basis that the race wasn't a stiff enough test for him, that puts Neptune on 165. But you could easily argue that Neptune deserves to be as high as 171.

Kauto Star 184
Denman 178p
Exotic Dancer 175
The Listener 168
Racing Demon 166
Neptune Collonges 165
Halcon Genelardais 165

So given that our view of Neptune is a low one, and that there are obvious doubts about The Listener, Racing Demon and Halcon Genelardais giving their running even if they turn up, then I would say that NC is a pretty attractive each-way bet, even though you are relying on one of the three with the clear best form either not running, completing or running no sort of race.
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