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Old 02-11-2008, 07:26 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Typically, off tracks, cheap tracks, and tracks with pronounced biases (AQU inner, for example) produce what I call WIPEOUT races. These are races where all but a single horse (the winner) is REGRESSING the last call (in the more pronounced WIPEOUTS, they're regressing progressively). 5 of the 9 races run that day were 'true' WIPEOUTS, and a couple others almost made it as well.

Instead of focusing on what the winner did, maybe a better way to approach this is to consider that everything else in the race would've been BURIED by CLERPACK, the winner of the $25k claiming 7th race, which was run in nominally slower fractions that the 9th. In fact, the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th place finishers in the 7th would've beaten the (rest of the) field as well. Something is definitely wrong here. I'd SELL QUICK, if I were the owner.

Great post.
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