You are taking the absolute worst of it by playing into these Churchill pools. I don't understand why they don't put all 400+ nominees as individual betting interests. Don't tell me they don't have the technology. Here's what a real future book looks like.
Courtesy of Wynn Las Vegas, updated 2/4/08.
I understand that not everyone has access to Las Vegas, but if I know I'm taking the worst of it, I stay out of the pool.