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Originally Posted by boldruler
Are there some mystery 3yr olds out there. Bluegrass Cat and Strong Contender are the only other decent three year olds that might show up and they are no better than Sunriver.
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Well first of all I think Bluegrass Cat is better than Sunriver. But in general you are correct in saying that there are no "mystery 3yo out there" and yes I fully expect Bern to win the Travers. All I am saying is that if he wins the Travers as impressively against Bluegrass Cat (or whoever emerges from the Haskell as a decent colt) I think HOY speculation would begin to be appropriate.
Listen there is nothing wrong with making predictions. If you think he is unbeatable, fine. I just don't think it is time yet to hand him HOY yet. The horse has won 2 real races in his life and they were against suspect competition. I will be the first to say that those two races were visually impressive, but let's remember Flower Alley.
He too won the Jim Dandy impressively (over 5 lengths) and went on to win the Travers by 2.5. He then finished a game 2nd to last year's HOY in the BCC, and won his only start this year. Do you really think it is IMPOSSIBLE that Flower Alley will beat Bernardini if and when those 2 square off? By saying "hand him horse of the year" you are saying that horses like Lava Man and Flower Alley have no shot at beating him. I'm just not ready to say that.