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Originally Posted by docicu3
Bigs and NT
Is there reason to look at one more in the 7th who 1) May be at least with the best late speed in the race 2) Has Turf #'s certainly competitive with these 3) Has trainer with 23% (N=26) Tampa win % ,and is 1-1 this meet with ROI 3.67 off layoffs > 90 days, has won 3 of 4 at this distance (4 3-1-0-0)
Storm Cat Sire out of Dam who was 13 for 23 and 9 for 16 on Turf......
#1 British Blue can run with these and may pay a nice little price
Race 7
1,5,6ES,7,8....in the 7th for P4....hoping for 1 scratch so I am not 5 deep in the first leg.
Race 8
3,4,7,8 The only reason I added the 4 Heaven's Flame was the 2 nice works with the previous 3rd in only trip at Tampa. If a little better could win
Race 9
3,4,6,7 The key to the race will be the "AE"'s. If the 11 or the 13 draw in they get played by me.. The 4 Greylock has TGH juice with a 50% chance to run better than a "7" which should win this with a decent turf jock for Tampa and a great closing effort last race. If the AE's are left out I like the 7 year olds chances.
Race 10
1,2,4,7,9,11 The race is impossible but as stated above this one is gonna pay so an investment may be prudent. Scratches will hopefully bring the costy down but 3 or 4 hundred for a decent play is a decent investment.]
Good Luck to all the Tuesday Faithful ....Hopefully the rest of the regulars at Tampa will critique some of my stuff above...
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Doc,
British Blue deserves a long look. As with the case in these horozontal plays, you have to draw a line somewhere. IF I could single one later in the card, this one would be included
I just think Heaven's Flame in the 8th is a cut below the others in the race. You will get a nice price.
My only caution with Greylock in the 9th is that there have been so few mile races on the dirt at Tampa (they just started carding them last year) and the figs for those races seem a little out of whack sometimes. That said, when I go through these races, I eliminate the horses I think have no shot and he is the only one I didn't eliminate (but didn't use).
You have the 10th covered....
Good luck fashioning your ticket today. As I stated in an earlier post, the fact that all 4 races seem wide open, should get us a very nice P4 payout.