Just got in from ANOTHER Xmas party
hehehheh
I'll go through the rest in the AM, but here is my take on the first 4 races with a soap box disclaimer:
I’m boycotting posting both the morning line and the DRF graded entries for that matter because I don’t have a clue what anyone is looking at – surely the results of the meet thus far bear that opinion out.
Not that I’m some great handicapper or something but they’ve been so far off the mark that It's crazy to post odds next to the picks. Not that my picks are great, but double digit m/l odds going off as the post time fav’s are becoming the way too common all of sudden (READ: Race 4 today) the 12 was a 20-1-on the morning line, opened at 12-1 and was bet down to 3-1 to go on to win. Just don’t get fooled, but use this to your advantage in horizontal wagering as a lot of horizontal money is bet here on the m/l and guys like Bigs and GPK have a lot of knowledge about how this track plays. Folks get sucked into to the tote, and realistically more often than not the payoffs don’t bear the public’s opinion, as evidenced by the payoffs of the first 4 P4’s of the meet paying : 10K, 4k, 796.00, and 1K.
Done venting - here goes:
R1
2 Honorable Turn - Drop and cutback has been a fairly successful angle lately Suffolk shippers doing well; last two efforts have been over an off surface but has been working well over the track; gets Centeno
10 Sir Fei – Turf to dirt, rt to sprint/ and a layoff..asking a bit much but may be what this guy needs
7 Golden Trend – another that has never seen dirt; nice works and class above
1 Time Jet – maybe needed a start over the track, plus you get a coupled entry
R2
4 Stack Blues – Hoo – more than able
7 Winter Whiskey – D Knipes first entry of the meet; dropping out of 30 to 5; love the name
1 Keystone Point – Horse is in form; Red Hot Rosie and Kirk are 45%so far this year
R3
7 Nola – T. Proctors Notebook is fresh, working well and gets Rosie
5 Hampton Road – Outclassed at 17.5k 2 weeks ago fits here
3 Cherokee Hunter – Sitting on a huge one – bridesmaid last 3 @ 25 – 16…drops to 12.5 against these, most likely
R4
1 My Philly – Gal likes the weeds; fired a bullet of 45 last week
2 The Real Future – 5 wide last at similar condition only beaten 3.5 lengths
8 The Lady Waffles – Gonzalez back aboard where won at this level 2 back
9 Glided Arrow - back in form gets Centeno
R5
4 Uno Way Calle 4-1-1-1 @ Tampa, bullet tightener coming in
7 Lake Juniper – nice work over the surface, in form and moving up; should take an uncontested lead early
10 Gemway Perfect over the Tampa dirt; rounding back into form
R6
7 Full Exertion
9 Big Red Girl
1 Chamapgne Surprise
R7
1 Irish Ballerina
7 Go Go Diablo
8 Firey Catch
10 Early Hatch
11 Sunshine Summer
R8
3 Outshine
4 Spikeavellian
6 Woody’s Apache
R9
1 A Little Halo Joy * If off turf sub the 3 Xep for Elmer
7 Lookinforthesecret
8 Spectular Orage
10 Hold the Salt
R10
6 All I Can Get
5 Angler’s Reef
7 Blind River Fox
3 It’s His Time
R11
9 Westcoasteastcoast
4 Awesome Attitude
2 Artax Collector