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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
And hopefully you don't use this kind of logic when you bet your money. The simple fact is that prior to Contessa having this horse the best he ever performed on a wet track was consistent with his current form.
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Brief answers sometimes create uneven ones. My point was best vs. worst is not real argument here. These times are neither best or worst -- I would suggest that 90-91 on wet track is par for Missle Motor. The 111 is an anomaly until it is repeated or refuted.
Bet against or pass race seem logical choices here. Heck, maybe Hemingway's Key awakes from his slumber tomorrow at 15-1. HK has fallen a long, long way from third in 2006 Preakness to 50K optional claimer on inner track on wintery Thursday afternoon.