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Originally Posted by Bold Brooklynite
One point, please:
There's absolutely no correlation between the way a horse works out ... and the way he performs in a race.
None ... zero.
A horse who works fast is just as likely to lose as he is to win ... and a horse who works slow is just as likely to win as he is to lose.
Actual past performances aren't perfect either ... but they're a much better guide than workouts.
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I wouldn't say ZERO correlation, it's not perfect, and there are horses that are "morning glories", but they do give an indication of how a horse is doing. Some stated that Barbaro had one of the best pre-Derby workouts they had ever seen, suggesting he was ready to go. Oracle knows a clocker and he has given out some good info about how a horse has worked and that has translated into on track performance...