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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
He brings up, sort of, the obvious " anti-Pick-6 " points ( without implicitly, seemingly, understanding the biggest potential downfall of big Pick-6 payoffs in that it can take real money out of betting circulation ). However, he completely leaves out the single biggest positive of Pick-6 carryovers. Now, maybe this is because he, admittedly, doesn't understand the bet, but to fail to mention that carryovers dramatically reduce the take-out, sometimes to the point of creating a positive equity situation, is to absolutely miss the whole point. So, I have to ask myself, did he write an article like this out of ignorance of his subject or did he intentionally intend to mislead?
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I'm guessing ignorance because he implied that the better cappers (people like himself
) avoid the play because they know they can't hit it.
i'm pretty sure the opposite is true because the better, sharper players are attracted to the carryover days precisely for the reason you mentioned, no takeout, or negative takeout.