View Single Post
  #2  
Old 10-28-2007, 12:45 PM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

My thoughts on the Breeders Cup:

The extreme weather and track conditions made this normally challenging day EXTREMELY DIFFICULT from a handicapping perspective. For all who managed to make money yesterday, I tip my hat to you. While I was close on a few races (a neck here, nose there), the track condition was very difficult to read. I do believe there was a speed bias early in the day. I think Monmouth tried to even the track out, but due to the weather had no choice but to compact it so it played similarly to the way it had throughout their original meet. Just because one horse was able to close in a few of the races, doesn't mean there was no bias. With the fractions being set in some of the races, on a "normal" track, there would have been many closers running at the wire. The 2 juvenile races, which were won by speedy favorites, had very fast fractions, and instead of slowing down mid stretch, they were both still many lengths clear. Now, both of these horses (Indian Blessing and War Pass) may turn out to be superior horses, but they were both tiring in their previous races at a slightly shorter distance. After the rain stopped, and the track dried out a bit, it played more evenly.
Just one man's opinion.
Reply With Quote