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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
No, not at all. LITF has proven he can win from off the pace. In addition, LITF has set some blazing early fractions and still drew off and won easily. So he has shown that he can set blazing fast fractions and win and he has shown that he can sit off the pace of fast fractions and win.
I'm not saying your theory is positively wrong. His sub-par performances in his 3 losses could be due to tougher competition on those occasions. Or it may be a combination of tougher competition and the horse not firing to due to physical problems.
Or it may be due almost solely to physical problems.
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If he had demonstrated at least once that he could compete at the top against open company, than the injury excuse would have much more validity in my mind. The fact is that he hasnt been able to compete at the top. Maybe he does it in the future...i would bet not.
LITF has rated- you are correct. But he rated against cheap speed that would fold. LITF has set blazing fractions- you are correct. But there was nothing of quality there to chase him down. In races where there have been credible frontrunners as well as credible closers, he has lost. Simple as that. That is fact.